Plan Your Trip Guide
Mexico's hurricane season: the official warnings to follow, and the storms of 2026 so far
The Pacific season runs to November 30. How to follow NHC advisories and Mexico's five-color alerts, what U.S. and UK advice says, and 2026's storms so far.
By Durango Reviews Team ·
Good to know
- The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) says the eastern Pacific season runs from May 15 to November 30, and the Atlantic season from June 1 to November 30.
- By our count of NHC's 2026 archive, the eastern Pacific has had 20 named storms and 11 hurricanes, above the full-season average of 15 and 8.
- Polo neared landfall in Baja California Sur and near Guaymas on September 28 and 29. Simon, a Category 4, skirted the west-central coast on October 11, and Trudy brought warnings on October 16 to 18.
- On October 29, NHC forecast Tropical Storm Vance to bring 2 to 4 inches of rain to central and southern Sinaloa, far southwestern Durango and far northwestern Nayarit.
- Mexico's own storm alerts, SIAT-CT, use five colors, from blue for minimal danger to red for maximum danger.
Mexico has two hurricane coasts. The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) says the eastern Pacific season runs from May 15 to November 30, and the Atlantic season, which includes the Caribbean Sea, from June 1 to November 30. The U.S. State Department gives Mexico's tropical storm and hurricane season as May to November; the UK's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) says: "The hurricane season in Mexico normally runs from June to November and can affect the Pacific and Atlantic coasts."
This guide explains where the official warnings come from, what U.S. and UK travel advice says, and what the 2026 season has brought so far. It matters for any coastal trip booked for November.
The 2026 season so far
The Pacific side has been the busy one. NHC's archive for 2026 lists 20 named eastern Pacific storms, from Amanda to Vance, plus Nolo, which also appears in the central Pacific list. By our count of that list, 11 of the 20 reached hurricane strength. NHC's average for a whole eastern Pacific season, based on 1991 to 2020, is 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. The Atlantic list for 2026 is shorter: 10 named storms, from Arthur to Josephine, of which only Isaias became a hurricane, against an Atlantic average of 14 named storms and 7 hurricanes.
Four of the Pacific hurricanes came close to Mexico in the past five weeks:
| Storm | What NHC reported |
|---|---|
| Polo | A Category 5 hurricane with 165 mph (270 km/h) winds on September 26. At 8 p.m. MST on September 28 it was about to make landfall in Baja California Sur, with 115 mph (185 km/h) winds; at 8 a.m. MST on September 29, it was about to make landfall near Guaymas, Sonora, with 75 mph (120 km/h) winds. It dissipated over northwestern Mexico that evening. |
| Simon | Formed south of Mexico on October 7. Mexico issued a hurricane warning from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula on October 8. At 3 a.m. CST on October 11, the eyewall of the Category 4 hurricane, with 155 mph (250 km/h) winds, was very near the west-central coast, about 60 miles (100 km) west-southwest of Manzanillo. It dissipated south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas on October 16. |
| Trudy | Formed off southern Mexico on October 13. Mexico issued a hurricane warning from Manzanillo to Playa Perula on October 16, later extended to Cabo Corrientes. All warnings were discontinued on October 18, and the final advisory came on October 19. |
| Vance | Formed south of southern Mexico on October 21 and peaked at 110 mph (175 km/h) on October 23 and 24, far offshore. It weakened to a tropical depression on October 28 and regained tropical-storm strength early on October 29. At 8 a.m. MST that day, it had 40 mph (65 km/h) winds about 215 miles (350 km) west-northwest of Cabo Corrientes, with no coastal watches or warnings. |
Vance was still a hazard on land when this guide was last checked, on the morning of October 29. NHC's advisory at 8 a.m. MST that day forecast 2 to 4 inches of rain through the night across central and southern Sinaloa, far southwestern Durango and far northwestern Nayarit, with isolated totals over 5 inches possible in central and southern Sinaloa, and warned that the rain "may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain." It said swells were likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents on coastal parts of southwestern and west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next day or so. It expected Vance to become a post-tropical remnant low later that day and to dissipate that night or early on Friday. NHC's outlook for the eastern and central North Pacific the same morning gave one other area, well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, a 30% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone over 7 days.
The FCDO's Mexico page carried information about Hurricane Trudy until October 20, when, its change log says, that information was removed from the warnings page.
Mexico's own alerts: five colors
NHC's advisories tell readers to monitor products issued by their national meteorological service. In Mexico, that is the National Meteorological Service (SMN), which CENAPRED, the national disaster-prevention center, says has operated since 1877. Since 2000, Mexico's civil protection system has also run an early-warning system for tropical cyclones, SIAT-CT. CENAPRED says it can give up to 72 hours' warning before a storm reaches a specific place.
The alerts follow two phases, a cyclone approaching (ciclón acercándose) and a cyclone moving away (ciclón alejándose), and five colors:
| Alert | Danger level |
|---|---|
| Blue (azul) | Minimal |
| Green (verde) | Low |
| Yellow (amarilla) | Moderate |
| Orange (naranja) | High |
| Red (roja) | Maximum |
CENAPRED tells people to follow the instructions of Protección Civil, to check the alerts that the National Civil Protection Coordination (CNPC) posts on social media, and to ignore rumors and sensational news in favor of official sources.
What U.S. and UK travel advice says
The FCDO's Mexico travel advice, last updated October 20, 2026, and still current on October 29, says: "Tropical storms and hurricanes cause floods, landslides and disruption to local services, including transport networks. After a hurricane there can still be continued flooding, high winds and rainfall." It advises: "Monitor local and international weather updates from the US National Hurricane Center and follow the advice of local authorities and your tour operator, including evacuation orders." Of Hurricane Otis, the Category 5 storm that hit near Acapulco in 2023, it says "Reconstruction efforts continue to disrupt tourism, and the security situation is unpredictable," and: "FCDO advises against all but essential travel to the city of Acapulco."
The State Department's travel information for Mexico says: "Stay informed of incoming storms and avoid these areas if possible." In its weather alert for Hurricane Trudy on October 15, the U.S. Embassy told U.S. citizens to "Monitor the National Hurricane Center and the Mexican National Meteorological Service on storm activity and emergency response" and to "Have evacuation plans that do not rely on U.S. Government assistance."
The official advice for a coastal trip before November 30
- Forecasts: the FCDO says to monitor weather updates from the U.S. National Hurricane Center, and CENAPRED points people in Mexico to the alerts the National Civil Protection Coordination posts on social media.
- Instructions: when a storm is about to reach a community, CENAPRED tells people to follow the instructions of Protección Civil; the FCDO says to follow the advice of local authorities and your tour operator, "including evacuation orders."
- Swimming: the FCDO says "Sea conditions can be unpredictable, and some beaches are unpatrolled. Follow coastguard and local authority guidance on whether it is safe to swim."
- Insurance: the FCDO says "Insurance should cover your itinerary, planned activities and expenses in an emergency."
Inland trips are not immune, as Vance's rain forecast for southwestern Durango shows. Our Durango outdoors guide covers the state's mountain drives, and our report on San Carlos's new artificial reef covers the coast Polo reached in September.
How this guide was researched: from NHC's climatology page, its 2026 storm archive and public advisories on Polo, Simon, Trudy and Vance, CENAPRED's and SEGOB's descriptions of the SIAT-CT alert system, the UK FCDO's Mexico travel advice, and the U.S. State Department's Mexico travel information, read on October 28, 2026, and NHC's latest Vance advisory and outlook, its archive list, the U.S. Embassy's Hurricane Trudy alert and the FCDO's advice, read again on October 29. Storm counts are ours, from NHC's archive list on October 29.
Sources
- Tropical Cyclone Climatology NOAA National Hurricane Center
- 2026 Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane season archive NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 29, 2026
- Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 23 NOAA National Hurricane Center, September 26, 2026
- Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 34 NOAA National Hurricane Center, September 28, 2026
- Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 36 NOAA National Hurricane Center, September 29, 2026
- Remnants of Polo Advisory Number 38 NOAA National Hurricane Center, September 29, 2026
- Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number 6 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 8, 2026
- Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 16 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 11, 2026
- Remnants of Simon Advisory Number 38 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 16, 2026
- Hurricane Trudy public advisories 1 to 27 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 19, 2026
- Tropical Storm Vance public advisories 1 to 33 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 29, 2026
- Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number 29 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 28, 2026
- Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number 33 NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 29, 2026
- Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook NOAA National Hurricane Center, October 29, 2026
- Conoce el Sistema de Alerta Temprana para Ciclones Tropicales, ya comenzó la temporada Centro Nacional de Prevención de Desastres (CENAPRED), June 1, 2020
- Conoce el Manual del Sistema de Alerta Temprana para ciclones tropicales (SIAT-CT) Secretaría de Gobernación (SEGOB), May 24, 2018
- Mexico travel advice: safety and security Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (GOV.UK), October 20, 2026
- Mexico travel advice: warnings and insurance Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (GOV.UK), October 20, 2026
- Mexico international travel information: safety and security U.S. Department of State, Bureau of Consular Affairs, August 11, 2025
- Weather Alert: Hurricane Trudy, U.S. Embassy Mexico City, U.S. Consulate General Guadalajara on Thursday, October 15, 2026 U.S. Embassy and Consulates in Mexico, October 15, 2026
Researched and drafted with AI assistance, then checked against the 20 sources above in a separate fact-check on October 29, 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.